Day 6- High risk and high expectations

Today was my final chase day and expectations were high. The SPC had issued an unusual 30% Tornado risk for Southern Kansas and Oklahoma. To put that in to context when I saw 12 tornados in one day last year it was a 15% risk.

Today’s outlook, the 30% risk indicating a high risk of strong long track Tornados

The challenge with such a high risk is that the storms fire early and become a large unchaseable (definitely a word) mess of cells. With such good conditions to trigger storms several can start all at once, making it both dangerous and difficult to see anything.

We didn’t have far to go to get into the high risk area which left some time for sight seeing in Dodge.

The Boothill museum recreation of Dodge City from the time of Wyatt Earp and other old west lawmen.

After learning about the rich history of  Dodge City we left for our target set up location Pratt KS.

As we feared storms started to go up early along with a lot of precipitation. We tracked our first target for the day North from Woodward OK toward Freedom OK.

We were probably just about close enough to this lightning

Our first target of the day

 After a short stop to observe the emerging wall cloud and some Lightning we soon found ourselves cut off by wind and hail. 

This was the size of the hail that prevented our pursuit of the storm​ to the North.

As we retreated from the hail and wind North of us we became cut off to the South by another storm with more than hail blocking our progress.

Its hard to tell from this photo but the whole sky was rotating around us

As we drove South several funnel clouds appeared briefly from the wall cloud ahead, when everyone’s ears popped as a result of a sudden change in pressure and the sky swirling above we had to risk the hail and rain to the North in order to avoid a potential Tornado forming on top of us. It’s fair to say I felt a burst of adrenaline as we raced towards what we hoped was safety.

Action shot of us running away courtesy of Ang, note the visibility

As we escaped the storm and eventually made our way North Dan was able to get us to the prefect location amid the chaos to chase our second and final target for the day.

A rotating wall cloud just South of Waynoka OK

Not sure if this was actually a Tornado- whatever it was though it was impressive

After tracking this storm for the remainder of it’s Tornado warned status we decided to head north and get out of the worsening​ conditions and increasingly poor visibility.

We set our sights back towards Kansas and a hotel for the night, however the storms had a few more suprises left.

Mammatus on the road to Garden City

The remains of a supercell or 2

The outskirts of Dodge City and low level cloud at sunset

Due to the challenging conditions today I have only captured a small glimpse of the experience on camera, but today was a truly memorable experience.

Day 4 and 5- Tornados in Texas and Oklahoma

Yesterday’s chase was incredibly intense and unfortunately the storm we were chasing tore through Elk City destroying homes and leading to at least one death. Although we are out here to see severe weather we never want to see it cause damage and loss of life. My thoughts are with anyone affected by the Tornado outbreak and hail storms yesterday.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=A9ilx9cbDWs

Yesterday’s Chase

Yesterday had all the ingredients required for severe storms and Tornados and the forecast proved to be accurate, this brings with it additional challenges. Good prospects mean we see a convergence of chaser’s making the roads busy and in cases congested. 

This map from the SPC show’s the risk of tornados. Shamrock TX was our target

With an easy drive from Borger TX to Shamrock we were in the perfect position to start the chase by 1pm. The biggest challenge being the art of knowing when to stay put and do nothing, not chasing the first thing on radar.

Storm chasers waiting in Shamrock. The truck pictured is a mobile radar from the University of Oklahoma

At around 3pm chaser’s started to head out, with storms forming to the West and South our next target was McClean TX.

We were the blue circle

We initially set our sites on the storm immediately to our West bumping into a fellow chaser Jock McGinty along the way.

View of the storm over Howardwick.

We tracked this storm South until the challenging road options in the Eastern Texas Panhandle prevented us from chasing. We decided to target the storm to our South as a result. This storm did however put down a tornado shortly after we had committed to the Southern most storm.

The updraft column of our second target for the day

As we got closer this quickly picked up a tornado warning.

The dust on the ground is more than likely a downdraft from cold air descending out of the storm. We did think it could be Tornado briefly.

Although we didn’t see a tornado the storm was producing funnel clouds.

If you look closely you can see a needle like funnel cloud dropping down from the storm

As we drove on into the storm we ran into hail and rain making for some very interesting driving. Along with some very strong rotation above us. 

The whole sky was moving & rotating around us it felt like a tornado could drop on us at any second.

Shortly after this we were back on the road making sure we kept an appropriate distance from anything that looked like producing a tornado.

The sky that was rotating around us as we did some storm fleeing

Below is a short video from inside the car as we drove through a hail core. The hail was around the diameter of a quarter.

After driving through the hail we started to get a view of the storm ahead. On radar the storm heading for Elk City looked very severe on radar.

Just South of Elk City, somewhere hidden in the rain and hail was a tornado. (This photo was featured on the weather channel)

After the road ahead was clear we raced towards I-40 to get further east and away from the storms path. After producing several tornados and dropping hail the size of golf balls this storm was starting to reduce in severity. We got off I-40 at the town of Clinton which had lost all power as a result of the days severe weather. With daylight running out the chase was over.

The final view of the storm from Clinton OK.

We ended our day back in Shamrock TX and the prospect of a well earned rest. The damage caused to Elk City re emphasised the danger present when chasing severe weather and the very real impact it has on people’s lives.

Day 5- Blue skies in Dodge City

No severe weather was forecast for today so with a late start we headed toward Dodge City to set up for the Storms forecast for Thursday in Kansas and Oklahoma. 

A very similar set up to Tuesday but further North and East. Lets hope whatever we see tomorrow is somewhere remote and unpopulated

Day 3- We came we chased we saw

With all the models pointing to Tuesday and Thursday being the big chase days for this week we did a good job of managing our expectations for today. It turns out we didn’t need to!

Starting out in Colby Kansas we faced a fairly long set up drive to the Texas panhandle, our target for the day. 

The approaching dry line

We certainly had to practice some disicpline today waiting for the dryline to kick up storms just east of Amarillo.

Towers started to go up around 4pm, still lots of waiting to be done

The dry line started to help initiate updrafts around 4pm and the real challenge of knowing which storm to pick was about to start.

The first anvil of the day. Still waiting for the storm to start.

By around 5pm and Daniel Gregory our talented forcaster had put us right in the perfect spot to start the chase.

In to the storm

After brief stop we continued to drive North in order to get ahead of the storms traveling towards us, it became something of a race.

After a mini core punch we made it to the perfect spot to really see the structure of the storm rotating wall cloud and all!

The storm starts to reveal itself

The structure of the storm started to emerge from the rain.

As we chased the structure of the storm became more apparent and a truly spectacular storm emerged, i’ll let the photos do the talking.

This may be one of the most photogenic storms I have chased

The same storm about 15 minutes later

A slightly wider perspective

The view as we checked in to our hotel for the night

Although there were no tornados today, the odds or looking good for tomorrow. 

Day Two- No storms for us- But we did see a kind of wonder of the world…

Today was never going to be a great chase day so it was a late start and a long drive from South Dakota to set up for tomorrow.

Along the way we stopped at a replica of Stonehenge made entirely of cars, which I personally think is better.

This sign came with a 5 minute audio intro- which opens with an answer to the key question- Why?!

Although there were no storms today, sightseeing in flip flops is not without hazard- spot the snake


400 miles later we neared our planned stop for the night, Colby Kansas we could see the tell tale shape of a thunderstorm on the horizon. We decided to head a little further South to see if it was going to be worth late evening chase.

This is as close as we got the radar indicated it was still at least an hours drive away.

Deciding it wasn’t worth the chase we called it day and chased down some dinner instead.

Tomorrow looks more promising with potential chase areas in Texas and Kansas, the challenge could be making a call between 2 different storm systems.

A pretty extensive area of slight risk tomorrow.

Some of my best chase days I have been in areas of slight risk, tune in tomorrow to see where we end up…

Storm Chase 2017- The Beginning

Welcome everyone to my 2017 storm chasing adventure! Brought to you by the Tornadic Wind and Thunderstorm Seekers…AKA Sean, Dan, Peter and Ang. 

Day one is over and it seems like we are going to have a quiet start to the week- but hopefully a little more excitement by Tuesday.

Saturdays convective outlook

As you can see from the SPCs convective outlook the risk of severe thunderstorms was pretty low. However a marginal risk doesn’t mean no storms- just a low probability- making the chase much harder.

Our expert forcaster Dan however was optimistic and we set our sights on South Dakota. Setting out from Denver towards Keystone via beautiful Wyoming.

Filling up this years chase car somewhere in Wyoming. A Suburban may be overkill.

After 300 miles we came across the first hint of some convection.

An emerging anvil cloud near the lovely little town of Custer SD

With time on our side we made a quick detour to tick off an item from my US bucket list.

Some fossilized presidents

Proof I was there!

It turned out MT Rushmore was a pretty good spot to watch the first storm of the day approach- unfortunately the Black Hills also make a pretty big obstacle for storms forming to the west. 

The white line is the approaching strom track- the blue circle is me at MT Rushmore

After the storm approached us and fell apart over the hills we left for a couple of storms developing to the South. Neither were severe warned but well worth chasing.

My preferred target for the afternoon- AKA Sean’s storm

We found our selves between 2 interesting storms a d opted for the closest first. The South Dakota terrain made it difficult to get a good look at the full structure of the storm and data coverage was sketchy. Trial and error was the theme for the day!

Up close with Dan’s preferred storm

We caught up with our first target storm by around 4pm and caught a few lightning bolts and precipitation from the only vantage point for miles.

After watching for a while we decided to change our tact and head South to what appeared to be a well organized storm in clean air and away from annoying hills!

Up close with my storm

After heading south to catch a closer look with the Las storm of our Chase we decided to call it a day. The storms today were small and not likely to produce any severe weather, time for dinner in hot springs!

Just a very pretty view

After arriving in Hot Springs our stop for the night and home to Woolys, the best Mammoth themed restaurant I have ever eaten at we had one more surprise from todays storms- a rather spectacular display of Mammatus.

Some impressive Mammatus

We could be in for a stormy night.

Looking at the outlook for the next 2 days its going to be a slow start, but hopefully some proper chasing action by Tuesday.